Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.061945 0.073145 0.085685 0.100752 0.118352 0.138245 0.162425
2025-06-01 0.044169 0.058454 0.076243 0.099963 0.130698 0.169115 0.220716
2025-06-08 0.033666 0.048706 0.069048 0.098444 0.139691 0.195347 0.275966
2025-06-15 0.027941 0.043511 0.066053 0.100843 0.152925 0.227689 0.342778
2025-06-22 0.022950 0.038133 0.061467 0.099614 0.160033 0.251536 0.399977
2025-06-29 0.018923 0.033347 0.056745 0.097032 0.164147 0.270771 0.452007
2025-07-06 0.015695 0.029206 0.052242 0.093845 0.166431 0.286891 0.500519
2025-07-13 0.013961 0.027298 0.051085 0.095934 0.177510 0.318291 0.577608
2025-07-20 0.012323 0.025252 0.049318 0.096574 0.185959 0.345976 0.651365
2025-07-27 0.010967 0.023495 0.047776 0.097316 0.194533 0.374651 0.729992
2025-08-03 0.009894 0.022110 0.046707 0.098744 0.204458 0.406739 0.818390
2025-08-10 0.009133 0.021239 0.046510 0.101822 0.217899 0.446809 0.926346
2025-08-17 0.007854 0.019055 0.043348 0.098468 0.218169 0.461837 0.988055
2025-08-24 0.007012 0.017715 0.041787 0.098302 0.225079 0.490994 1.081958
2025-08-31 0.006198 0.016292 0.039818 0.096929 0.229160 0.514719 1.167250
2025-09-07 0.005737 0.015649 0.039528 0.099317 0.241854 0.558047 1.299323
2025-09-14 0.005115 0.014484 0.037822 0.098112 0.246128 0.583450 1.394810
2025-09-21 0.004501 0.013227 0.035699 0.095568 0.246877 0.600973 1.474416
2025-09-28 0.003938 0.012006 0.033472 0.092427 0.245728 0.613930 1.544832
2025-10-05 0.003676 0.011588 0.033272 0.094485 0.257802 0.659349 1.697307
2025-10-12 0.003380 0.011016 0.032573 0.095116 0.266294 0.697052 1.835216
2025-10-19 0.003118 0.010499 0.031945 0.095848 0.275143 0.736601 1.982074
2025-10-26 0.002904 0.010094 0.031576 0.097255 0.285994 0.782393 2.149804